Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.061115 0.072609 0.085519 0.101070 0.119275 0.139889 0.164980
2025-03-23 0.044351 0.059352 0.078136 0.103291 0.135989 0.176942 0.231999
2025-03-30 0.033560 0.049361 0.070919 0.102274 0.146470 0.206255 0.292920
2025-04-06 0.026125 0.041620 0.064342 0.099748 0.153108 0.229998 0.348509
2025-04-13 0.020677 0.035356 0.058297 0.096268 0.156922 0.249223 0.399180
2025-04-20 0.017703 0.032227 0.056231 0.098117 0.168500 0.280774 0.471633
2025-04-27 0.015185 0.029296 0.053855 0.098842 0.178010 0.309829 0.543283
2025-05-04 0.013130 0.026748 0.051620 0.099283 0.186822 0.338435 0.617214
2025-05-11 0.011583 0.024831 0.050142 0.100723 0.197364 0.370924 0.701229
2025-05-18 0.010537 0.023686 0.049883 0.104300 0.212120 0.412298 0.805424
2025-05-25 0.008930 0.021076 0.046329 0.100893 0.213059 0.428407 0.864901
2025-06-01 0.007890 0.019485 0.044570 0.100786 0.220339 0.457044 0.950917
2025-06-08 0.006847 0.017719 0.042215 0.099197 0.224631 0.480849 1.031289
2025-06-15 0.006249 0.016888 0.041784 0.101722 0.237926 0.524222 1.155940
2025-06-22 0.005500 0.015539 0.039946 0.100794 0.243566 0.552421 1.252418
2025-06-29 0.004769 0.014082 0.037607 0.098318 0.245351 0.572559 1.333919
2025-07-06 0.004094 0.012636 0.035045 0.094888 0.244415 0.586558 1.403460
2025-07-13 0.003760 0.012071 0.034624 0.096713 0.256206 0.630232 1.543778
2025-07-20 0.003414 0.011402 0.033820 0.097428 0.265351 0.668800 1.676471
2025-07-27 0.003097 0.010753 0.032961 0.097863 0.273834 0.706705 1.811558
2025-08-03 0.002850 0.010271 0.032491 0.099284 0.285044 0.752336 1.969802
2025-08-10 0.002695 0.010056 0.032757 0.102812 0.302292 0.814594 2.174892
2025-08-17 0.002350 0.009126 0.030738 0.099452 0.300401 0.828687 2.261735